J1 League | Gameweek 28
Aug 25, 2024 at 10am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium

Tokyo Verdy
2 - 1
Kashima Antlers

Yamami (63', 75')
Taniguchi (44'), Miyahara (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Suzuki (90' pen.)
Ueda (54')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Tokyo Verdy and Kashima Antlers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tokyo Verdy

All competitions
J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 0-0 Tokyo Verdy
Saturday, August 17 at 11am in J1 League

Kashima Antlers

All competitions
J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 0-0 Urawa
Saturday, August 17 at 10am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 52.75%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Tokyo Verdy win it was 1-0 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Tokyo VerdyDrawKashima Antlers
23.1% (-0.483 -0.48)24.15% (0.021000000000001 0.02)52.75% (0.462 0.46)
Both teams to score 52.39% (-0.639 -0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.04% (-0.567 -0.57)48.96% (0.569 0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.96% (-0.518 -0.52)71.04% (0.51900000000001 0.52)
Tokyo Verdy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.3% (-0.755 -0.75)35.71% (0.756 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.52% (-0.785 -0.79)72.48% (0.786 0.79)
Kashima Antlers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.49% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)18.51% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.26% (-0.064 -0.06)49.74% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Tokyo Verdy 23.1%
    Kashima Antlers 52.74%
    Draw 24.15%
Tokyo VerdyDrawKashima Antlers
1-0 @ 6.81% (0.019 0.02)
2-1 @ 5.91% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-0 @ 3.51% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-1 @ 2.03% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.2% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 23.1%
1-1 @ 11.48% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.61% (0.153 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.15%
0-1 @ 11.14% (0.24 0.24)
1-2 @ 9.68% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 9.4% (0.196 0.2)
1-3 @ 5.45% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 5.29% (0.104 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.8% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-4 @ 2.3% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.23% (0.041 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 52.74%

Head to Head
May 12, 2024 5.05am
Gameweek 13
Kashima Antlers
3-3
Tokyo Verdy
Suzuki (5' pen.), Nago (8'), Ueda (50')
Sekigawa (29'), Jofuku (36'), Nago (66')
Saito (69'), Kimura (81'), Miki (90+3')
Chida (27'), Tsunashima (43')