Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 62.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 16.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.56%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Tokyo Verdy win it was 1-0 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Tokyo Verdy	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
16.04% ( 0)	21.59% ( 0.01)	62.37% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 48.72% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.07% (

-0.03)

47.93% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.89% (

-0.03)

70.11% (

0.03)

Tokyo Verdy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.18% (

-0.01)

42.83% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.86% (

-0.01)

79.14% (

0.01)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.21% (

-0.01)

14.79% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.93% (

-0.03)

43.07% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Tokyo Verdy 16.04%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 62.36%

Draw 21.59%

Tokyo Verdy	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 5.37% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.35% 2-0 @ 2.28% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.23% 3-2 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 1.62% Total : 16.04%	1-1 @ 10.26% 0-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0) Other @ 0.83% Total : 21.59%	0-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 11.56% 1-2 @ 9.81% ( -0) 0-3 @ 7.37% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.25% ( -0) 0-4 @ 3.52% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.99% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.35% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 62.36%