J1 League | Gameweek 31

Sep 22, 2024 at 11am UK

Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka (Hiratsuka)

Shonan Bellmare
1 - 2
Cerezo

Suzuki (12')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Ceara (21', 24')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Shonan Bellmare and Cerezo Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shonan Bellmare

All competitions

Last Game: Albirex Niigata 3-1 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, September 14 at 11am in J1 League

Goals
for

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions

Last Game: Vissel Kobe 2-1 Cerezo
Friday, September 13 at 11am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Shonan Bellmare	Draw	Cerezo Osaka
40.02% ( 0.23)	25.93% ( -0.04)	34.03% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 54.13% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.83% (

0.14)

50.16% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.87% (

0.13)

72.12% (

-0.13)

Shonan Bellmare Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.3% (

0.19)

24.69% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.76% (

0.26)

59.23% (

-0.27)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.88% (

-0.06)

28.11% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.21% (

-0.07)

63.78% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Shonan Bellmare 40.02%

Cerezo Osaka 34.03%

Draw 25.93%

Shonan Bellmare	Draw	Cerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 9.71% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.67% Total : 40.02%	1-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.93%	0-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.82% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 34.03%