Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Cerezo Osaka
42.33% ( 0.41)	25.83% ( 0.15)	31.83% ( -0.56)

Both teams to score 53.79% (

-0.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.69% (

-0.81)

50.3% (

0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.75% (

-0.73)

72.25% (

0.73)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.41% (

-0.15)

23.59% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.34% (

-0.22)

57.66% (

0.23)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.4% (

-0.78)

29.6% (

0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.36% (

-0.95)

65.63% (

0.95)

Score Analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 42.33%

Cerezo Osaka 31.83%

Draw 25.83%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Cerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.97% Total : 42.33%	1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.83%	0-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.44% Total : 31.83%