Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.94%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.

Result
Yokohama F Marinos	Draw	Cerezo Osaka
40.9% ( -0.24)	23.52% ( 0.04)	35.57% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 63.06% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.29% (

-0.17)

38.71% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.98% (

-0.18)

61.02% (

0.18)

Yokohama F Marinos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.7% (

-0.17)

19.3% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.95% (

-0.29)

51.05% (

0.29)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.14% (

0.03)

21.86% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.9% (

0.04)

55.09% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Yokohama F Marinos 40.9%

Cerezo Osaka 35.57%

Draw 23.52%

Yokohama F Marinos	Draw	Cerezo Osaka
2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.34% Total : 40.9%	1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.52%	1-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.35% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.27% 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 35.57%