Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.