J1 League Gameweek 34
Oct 19, 2024 7.00am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT KINCHO Stadium
  • Leo Ceara 88' goal
  • goal Ryo Germain 5'
  • yellowcard Leo Gomes 22'
  • yellowcard Hassan Hilo 52'
  • goal Ryo Germain 71'
  • yellowcard Ko Matsubara 90'+3'

Cerezo Osaka vs Jubilo Iwata - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions
Last game
Oct 5, 2024 8.00am
Urawa 0 - 1 Cerezo
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Leo Ceara

Jubilo Iwata

All competitions
Last game
Oct 6, 2024 8.00am
Jubilo Iwata 1 - 2 Hiroshima
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Ryo Germain

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result

Cerezo Osaka 44.95% (-0.22)
Draw 25.57% (+0.06)
Jubilo Iwata 29.48% (+0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.5% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.84% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 50.16% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 27.88% (-0.16)
Under 3.5 72.12% (+0.16)
Over 4.5 13.23% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 86.77% (+0.11)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5 77.72% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 22.28% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 44.27% (-0.27)
Under 1.5 55.73% (+0.27)

Jubilo Iwata Goals

Over 0.5 68.84% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 31.16% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 32.51% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 67.49% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Cerezo Osaka 44.94%
Draw 25.57%
Jubilo Iwata 29.48%
Cerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 10.42% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.83% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.57% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.92% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1% (+98.99)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 44.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.15% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 6.94% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.32% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.57%
Jubilo Iwata
0-1 @ 8.1% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 7.09% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.72% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.76% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.84% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 29.48%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 19
Jun 22, 2024 10.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Yamaha Stadium
  • Ko Matsubara 53' goal
  • goal Leo Ceara 76'
J1 League Gameweek 30
Sep 17, 2022 10.00am
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Shota Kaneko 57' goal
  • Ryosuke Shindo 70' goal
  • goal Adam Taggart 25'
  • goal Ryosuke Shindo 52'
J1 League Gameweek 12
May 6, 2022 11.00am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Seiya Maikuma 32' goal
  • Seiya Maikuma 40' goal
  • Hirotaka Tameda 74' redcard
  • goal Fabian Gonzalez 79'
  • yellowcard Yuki Otsu 88'