Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 29.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.