J1 League | Gameweek 30
Sep 14, 2024 at 11am UK
Grenada National Stadium

FC Tokyo
4 - 1
Nagoya Grampus

Higashi (13'), Oliveira (31' pen.), Ko (65'), Nakagawa (81')
Trevisan (50'), Cklamovski (84'), Brandon Nozawa (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Inagaki (85')
Junker (7'), Inagaki (17'), Uchida (29')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between FC Tokyo and Nagoya Grampus.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Tokyo

All competitions
J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 3-2 FC Tokyo
Saturday, August 31 at 10.30am in J1 League

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-1 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, August 24 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 1-0 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
FC TokyoDrawNagoya Grampus
34.4% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)28.15% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)37.45% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Both teams to score 47.26% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.13% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)58.87% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.63% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)79.37% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.79% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)32.21% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.3% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)68.7% (0.057999999999993 0.06)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.72% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)30.28% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.55% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)66.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    FC Tokyo 34.39%
    Nagoya Grampus 37.45%
    Draw 28.15%
FC TokyoDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 11.04%
2-1 @ 7.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.82% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.36% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 34.39%
1-1 @ 13.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.75% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28.15%
0-1 @ 11.65% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 6.96% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.14% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.77% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 37.45%

Head to Head
May 15, 2024 11am
Gameweek 14
Nagoya Grampus
3-1
FC Tokyo
Junker (33' pen., 66', 71')
Uchida (14'), Yoshida (17'), Nagai (28')
Araki (78')
Bangunagande (23'), Kimoto (81')
Jun 24, 2023 11am
Gameweek 18
FC Tokyo
2-0
Nagoya Grampus
Oliveira (18', 80')
Abe (45+7'), Oliveira (58'), Slowik (72'), Trevisan (84')

Yonemoto (25'), Nagai (29'), Nogami (36'), Mateus (45+1')
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