J1 League | Gameweek 25
Aug 7, 2024 at 11am UK
Kyoto Nishikyogoku Stadium

Kyoto Sanga
3 - 2
Nagoya Grampus

Elias (59'), Hara (74'), Tulio (79')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Patric (5', 19')
Morishima (65')
Uchida (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's J1 League clash between Kyoto Sanga and Nagoya Grampus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kyoto Sanga

All competitions
J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 3-5 Stuttgart
Sunday, July 28 at 11am in Club Friendlies 3

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 3-3 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, July 20 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 1-0 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Kyoto SangaDrawNagoya Grampus
33.72% (0.045999999999999 0.05)27.36% (0.021000000000001 0.02)38.92% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Both teams to score 49.53% (-0.061 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.01% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)55.99% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.92% (-0.067 -0.07)77.08% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Kyoto Sanga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.8% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)31.2% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.46% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)67.54% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)28% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.35% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)63.65% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Kyoto Sanga 33.71%
    Nagoya Grampus 38.92%
    Draw 27.36%
Kyoto SangaDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 10.17% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.54% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-0 @ 5.93% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.93%
3-0 @ 2.3% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 33.71%
1-1 @ 12.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.74% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.36%
0-1 @ 11.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.08% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 38.92%

How you voted: Kyoto Sanga vs Nagoya Grampus

Kyoto Sanga
54.5%
Draw
36.4%
Nagoya Grampus
9.1%
11
Head to Head
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Gameweek 16
Nagoya Grampus
1-1
Kyoto Sanga
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Izumi (50'), Uchida (60'), Nakayama (90+7')
Toyokawa (36')
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Jul 16, 2023 11am
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Nagoya Grampus
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Kaneko (53'), Fukuoka (59'), Ota (90+5')
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Inagaki (10')
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