J1 League Gameweek 27
Aug 17, 2024 11.00am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Toyota Stadium
  • Ryuji Izumi 79' yellowcard
  • Kasper Junker 88' goal
  • yellowcard Hayao Kawabe 45'+1'
  • goal Hayato Araki 48'
  • goal Mutsuki Kato 55'

Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions
Last game
Aug 11, 2024 11.00am
Nagoya Grampus 1 - 0 Tokyo Verdy
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Kensuke Nagai

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

All competitions
Last game
Aug 11, 2024 10.30am
Hiroshima 2 - 0 Cerezo
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Yuki Ohashi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 60.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 15.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.1%) and 1-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 1-0 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result

Nagoya Grampus 15.37% (-1.57)
Draw 24.18% (-0.73)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 60.44% (+2.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.24% (-1.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.37% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 58.62% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 20.82% (+0.20)
Under 3.5 79.18% (-0.20)
Over 4.5 8.81% (+0.12)
Under 4.5 91.19% (-0.12)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5 49.84% (-1.98)
Under 0.5 50.16% (+1.98)
Over 1.5 15.23% (-1.41)
Under 1.5 84.77% (+1.40)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5 80.74% (+0.98)
Under 0.5 19.26% (-0.98)
Over 1.5 49.01% (+1.59)
Under 1.5 50.99% (-1.59)

Score analysis

Nagoya Grampus 15.37%
Draw 24.17%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 60.43%
Nagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 6.67% (-0.46)
2-1 @ 3.79% (-0.37)
2-0 @ 2.3% (-0.30)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 15.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.97% (-0.40)
0-0 @ 9.66% (-0.10)
2-2 @ 3.12% (-0.20)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 24.17%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-1 @ 15.91% (+0.34)
0-2 @ 13.1% (+0.67)
1-2 @ 9.04% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 7.2% (+0.57)
1-3 @ 4.96% (+0.13)
0-4 @ 2.96% (+0.32)
1-4 @ 2.04% (+0.12)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 60.43%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 12
May 6, 2024 7.00am
2
3
HT : 2 4
FT EDION Stadium
  • Sota Koshimichi 23' goal
  • Sota Koshimichi 23' goal
  • Shuto Nakano 48' goal
  • Shuto Nakano 48' goal
  • goal Patric 2'
  • goal Patric 2'
  • goal Sho Inagaki 18'
  • goal Sho Inagaki 18'
  • yellowcard Tsukasa Morishima 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Tsukasa Morishima 45'+4'
  • goal Sho Sasaki 84' (OG)
  • goal Sho Sasaki 84' (OG)
J1 League Gameweek 29
Sep 30, 2023 11.00am
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT EDION Stadium
  • Michael Skibbe 45' yellowcard
  • Shinnosuke Nakatani 72' goal
  • Douglas Vieira 81' goal
  • Ezequiel 85' goal
  • Ezequiel 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryoya Morishita 38'
  • yellowcard Takuya Uchida 48'
  • goal Kasper Junker 57'
  • yellowcard Akinari Kawazura 77'
  • yellowcard Mitchell Langerak 77'
J1 League Gameweek 14
May 20, 2023 7.00am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Nagoya Mizuho Athletic Stadium
  • Kasper Junker 43' goal
  • Kasper Junker 48' goal
  • goal Kensuke Nagai 37' (OG)
J1 League Gameweek 30
Sep 17, 2022 11.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
J1 League Gameweek 16
May 28, 2022 6.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Gakuto Notsuda 58' goal
  • Tomoya Fujii 89' yellowcard
J1 League Gameweek 31
Oct 3, 2021 7.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Yuya Asano 35' goal
  • Rhayner 83' yellowcard