Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 60.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 15.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.1%) and 1-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 1-0 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.