Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 60.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 15.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.1%) and 1-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 1-0 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Nagoya Grampus	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
15.37% ( -1.56)	24.18% ( -0.72)	60.44% ( 2.29)

Both teams to score 40.24% (

-1.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.37% (

0.25)

58.62% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.82% (

0.19)

79.18% (

-0.19)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.84% (

-1.97)

50.16% (

1.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.23% (

-1.4)

84.77% (

1.4)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.74% (

0.98)

19.26% (

-0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.01% (

1.58)

50.99% (

-1.58)

Score Analysis

Nagoya Grampus 15.37%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 60.43%

Draw 24.17%

Nagoya Grampus	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.45) 2-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.36) 2-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.3) Other @ 2.62% Total : 15.37%	1-1 @ 10.97% ( -0.4) 0-0 @ 9.66% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.42% Total : 24.17%	0-1 @ 15.91% ( 0.33) 0-2 @ 13.1% ( 0.66) 1-2 @ 9.04% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 7.2% ( 0.57) 1-3 @ 4.96% ( 0.13) 0-4 @ 2.96% ( 0.32) 1-4 @ 2.04% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.05) 0-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.53% Total : 60.43%