J1 League | Gameweek 29
Aug 31, 2024 at 10.30am UK
EDION Stadium

Hiroshima
3 - 2
FC Tokyo

Arslan (5', 32', 63' pen.)
Kawabe (29'), Vieira (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ogashiwa (79'), Nakano (90+1' og.)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and FC Tokyo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

All competitions
J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 2-0 Reysol
Sunday, August 25 at 10.30am in J1 League

FC Tokyo

All competitions
J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 3-0 FC Tokyo
Saturday, August 24 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 60.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 17.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a FC Tokyo win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawFC Tokyo
60.98% (-0.146 -0.15)21.61% (0.085999999999999 0.09)17.41% (0.07 0.07)
Both teams to score 51.53% (-0.142 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.35% (-0.253 -0.25)45.65% (0.261 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.03% (-0.241 -0.24)67.98% (0.248 0.25)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.52% (-0.125 -0.13)14.49% (0.134 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.53% (-0.249 -0.25)42.48% (0.258 0.26)
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.26% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)39.75% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.59% (-0.067 -0.07)76.42% (0.076000000000008 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 60.97%
    FC Tokyo 17.41%
    Draw 21.61%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawFC Tokyo
1-0 @ 11.12% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 10.74% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.92% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.39% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.34% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.08% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.29% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.19% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 60.97%
1-1 @ 10.26% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.76% (0.064 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.61%
0-1 @ 5.31% (0.048 0.05)
1-2 @ 4.74% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.45% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.46%
2-3 @ 1.41% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 17.41%

Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 6am
Gameweek 2
FC Tokyo
1-1
Hiroshima
Araki (71')
Endo (18')
Ohashi (69' pen.)
Araki (87')
Oct 28, 2023 7am
Gameweek 31
FC Tokyo
1-2
Hiroshima
Araki (62' og.)
Trevisan (37'), Koizumi (57')
Nakagawa (90+4')
Kato (48'), Mitsuta (75')
Higashi (42'), Vieira (58'), Ben Khalifa (90')
Apr 22, 2023 6am
Gameweek 9
Hiroshima
1-2
FC Tokyo
Morishima (38')
Nakamura (5'), Abe (28')
Jul 30, 2022 11am
Gameweek 23
Hiroshima
1-2
FC Tokyo
Morishima (40')
Oliveira (67'), Adailton (90+3')
Mar 12, 2022 6am
Gameweek 4
FC Tokyo
2-1
Hiroshima
Mita (49')
Fujii (59')