J1 League Gameweek 33
Oct 6, 2024 8.00am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Yamaha Stadium
  • Leo Gomes 40' yellowcard
  • Ko Matsubara 52' goal
  • Ryo Germain 80' yellowcard
  • goal Sho Sasaki 41'
  • yellowcard Sho Sasaki 43'
  • goal Mutsuki Kato 78'

Jubilo Iwata vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Jubilo Iwata

All competitions
Last game
Sep 28, 2024 8.00am
Nagoya Grampus 2 - 0 Jubilo Iwata
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Ryo Germain

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

All competitions
Last game
Sep 28, 2024 11.00am
Hiroshima 2 - 0 Machida Zelvia
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Yuki Ohashi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 59.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 18.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.26%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Jubilo Iwata win it was 1-0 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result

Jubilo Iwata 18.79% (-0.60)
Draw 22.07% (-0.24)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 59.15% (+0.83)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.66% (-0.30)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.55% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 45.45% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 32.22% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 67.78% (-0.13)
Over 4.5 16.23% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 83.77% (-0.09)

Jubilo Iwata Goals

Over 0.5 61.96% (-0.58)
Under 0.5 38.04% (+0.58)
Over 1.5 25.19% (-0.57)
Under 1.5 74.81% (+0.57)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5 84.99% (+0.32)
Under 0.5 15.01% (-0.32)
Over 1.5 56.53% (+0.59)
Under 1.5 43.47% (-0.60)

Score analysis

Jubilo Iwata 18.79%
Draw 22.06%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 59.13%
Jubilo Iwata
1-0 @ 5.52% (-0.12)
2-1 @ 5.06% (-0.14)
2-0 @ 2.67% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 1.63% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 1.55% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 18.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.46% (-0.11)
0-0 @ 5.71% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.08)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 22.06%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-1 @ 10.82% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 10.26% (+0.17)
1-2 @ 9.92% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 6.49% (+0.18)
1-3 @ 6.28% (+0.08)
0-4 @ 3.08% (+0.12)
2-3 @ 3.03% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 2.98% (+0.07)
2-4 @ 1.44% (+0.02)
0-5 @ 1.17% (+0.06)
1-5 @ 1.13% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 59.13%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 17
Jun 1, 2024 6.00am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT EDION Stadium
  • Pieros Soteriou 38' goal
  • Pieros Soteriou 38' goal
  • Pieros Soteriou 60' goal
  • Pieros Soteriou 60' goal
  • yellowcard Matheus Peixoto 74'
  • yellowcard Matheus Peixoto 74'
J1 League Gameweek 19
Jul 2, 2022 10.30am
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Hayato Araki 22' goal
  • Sho Sasaki 63' goal
  • Tsukasa Morishima 68' goal
  • yellowcard Norimichi Yamamoto 11'
  • yellowcard Mahiro Yoshinaga 16'
  • yellowcard Rikiya Uehara 90'
J1 League Gameweek 9
Apr 17, 2022 8.00am
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Yuto Suzuki 39' goal
  • Yuki Otsu 86' yellowcard
  • Fabian Gonzalez 89' goal
  • Fabian Gonzalez 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Ricardo Graca 46' (OG)
  • goal Makoto Mitsuta 61'
  • yellowcard Junior Santos 85'