Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 59.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 18.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.26%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Jubilo Iwata win it was 1-0 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.