Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 37.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.