J1 League Gameweek 1
Gamba Osaka
Feb 14, 2025 10.00am
2
5
HT : 1 1
FT National Olympic Stadium
Cerezo
  • Neta Lavi 31' goal
  • Keisuke Kurokawa 54' goal
  • goal Sota Kitano 7'
  • goal Sota Kitano 46'
  • goal Shinji Kagawa 52'
  • goal Shunta Tanaka 63'
  • goal Motohiko Nakajima 90'+4'

Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gamba Osaka

All competitions
Last game
Dec 8, 2024 5.00am
Gamba Osaka 3 - 1 Hiroshima
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Ryoya Yamashita

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions
Last game
Dec 8, 2024 5.00am
FC Tokyo 3 - 0 Cerezo
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Rafael Ratao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result

Gamba Osaka 40.51% ▲ (+0.17)
Draw 25.09% ▼ (-0.16)
Cerezo Osaka 34.4% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.1% ▲ (+0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.63% ▲ (+0.69)
Under 2.5 46.37% ▼ (-0.70)
Over 3.5 31.35% ▲ (+0.65)
Under 3.5 68.65% ▼ (-0.66)
Over 4.5 15.61% ▲ (+0.46)
Under 4.5 84.38% ▼ (-0.46)

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5 77.23% ▲ (+0.39)
Under 0.5 22.77% ▼ (-0.39)
Over 1.5 43.54% ▲ (+0.57)
Under 1.5 56.46% ▼ (-0.58)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5 73.93% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 0.5 26.07% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 1.5 38.88% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 1.5 61.11% ▼ (-0.43)

Score analysis

Gamba Osaka 40.51%
Draw 25.08%
Cerezo Osaka 34.4%
Gamba Osaka
1-0 @ 8.78% ▼ (-0.16)
2-1 @ 8.74% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.5% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.31% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 3.21% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.07)
4-1 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 40.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.8% ▼ (-0.10)
0-0 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.18)
2-2 @ 5.87% ▲ (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.3% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.08%
Cerezo Osaka
0-1 @ 7.98% ▼ (-0.17)
1-2 @ 7.94% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.36% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 3.56% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 34.4%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 29
Cerezo
Oct 2, 2024 11.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT KINCHO Stadium
Gamba Osaka
  • Ryuya Nishio 48' goal
  • yellowcard Shu Kurata 90'
J1 League Gameweek 12
Gamba Osaka
May 6, 2024 5.05am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Nishigaoka National Stadium
Cerezo
  • Dawhan 27' yellowcard
  • Dawhan 27' yellowcard
  • Takashi Usami 28' goal
  • Takashi Usami 28' goal
  • yellowcard Satoki Uejo 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Satoki Uejo 90'+6'
J1 League Gameweek 31
Cerezo
Oct 28, 2023 6.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Yanmar Stadium Nagai
Gamba Osaka
  • Leo Ceara 8' goal
  • yellowcard Neta Lavi 41'
  • yellowcard Dawhan 90'+4'
J1 League Gameweek 11
Gamba Osaka
May 3, 2023 6.00am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Nishigaoka National Stadium
Cerezo
  • Dawhan 56' goal
  • goal Leo Ceara 28'
  • goal Mutsuki Kato 90'
J1 League Gameweek 22
Gamba Osaka
Jul 16, 2022 11.00am
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Cerezo
  • Kwon Kyung-won 17' goal
  • Kwon Kyung-won 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Riku Matsuda 11'
  • goal Hiroto Yamada 52'
  • goal Jean Patric 90'
J1 League Gameweek 14
Cerezo
May 21, 2022 6.00am
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Gamba Osaka
  • Adam Taggart 58' goal
  • Hiroaki Okuno 66' goal
  • Hiroaki Okuno 90'+4' goal
  • goal Hiroto Yamami 33'
  • yellowcard Kohei Okuno 53'
  • yellowcard Dawhan 82'

Form Data

Gamba Osaka 3 - 1 Hiroshima
Albirex Niigata 0 - 1 Gamba Osaka
Jubilo Iwata 3 - 4 Gamba Osaka
Gamba Osaka 3 - 2 Nagoya Grampus
Kawasaki 1 - 1 Gamba Osaka
Gamba Osaka 2 - 1 Consadole
FC Tokyo 3 - 0 Cerezo
Cerezo 0 - 2 Kashima Antlers
Cerezo 1 - 0 Avispa Fukuoka
Consadole 1 - 1 Cerezo
Cerezo 1 - 2 Jubilo Iwata
Urawa 0 - 1 Cerezo