MX23RW : Sunday, March 16 02:24:01| >> :300:86500:86500:
Gamba Osaka
J1 League | Gameweek 1
Feb 14, 2025 at 10am UK
National Olympic Stadium

Gamba Osaka
2 - 5
Cerezo

Lavi (31'), Kurokawa (54')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kitano (7', 46'), Kagawa (52'), Tanaka (63'), Nakajima (90+4')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Gamba Osaka and Cerezo Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gamba Osaka 3-1 Hiroshima
Sunday, December 8 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 3-0 Cerezo
Sunday, December 8 at 5am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Gamba OsakaDrawCerezo Osaka
40.51% (0.168 0.17) 25.09% (-0.155 -0.16) 34.4% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Both teams to score 57.1% (0.53 0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.63% (0.69 0.69)46.37% (-0.693 -0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.35% (0.646 0.65)68.65% (-0.65000000000001 -0.65)
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.23% (0.386 0.39)22.77% (-0.388 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.54% (0.567 0.57)56.46% (-0.57 -0.57)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.93% (0.316 0.32)26.07% (-0.32 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.88% (0.425 0.42)61.11% (-0.428 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Gamba Osaka 40.51%
    Cerezo Osaka 34.4%
    Draw 25.08%
Gamba OsakaDrawCerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 8.78% (-0.156 -0.16)
2-1 @ 8.74% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.5% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.31% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.21% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.067 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.6% (0.041 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.19% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 40.51%
1-1 @ 11.8% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.93% (-0.176 -0.18)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.071 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 7.98% (-0.161 -0.16)
1-2 @ 7.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.36% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.56% (0.035 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.055 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.4% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.2% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 34.4%

Head to Head
Oct 2, 2024 11am
Gameweek 29
Cerezo
1-0
Gamba Osaka
Nishio (48')

Kurata (90')
May 6, 2024 5.05am
Gameweek 12
Gamba Osaka
1-0
Cerezo
Usami (28')
Dawhan (27')

Uejo (90+6')
Oct 28, 2023 6am
Gameweek 31
Cerezo
1-0
Gamba Osaka
Ceara (8')

Lavi (41'), Dawhan (90+4')
May 3, 2023 6am
Gameweek 11
Gamba Osaka
1-2
Cerezo
Dawhan (56')
Ceara (28'), Kato (90')
Jul 16, 2022 11am
Gameweek 22
Gamba Osaka
1-2
Cerezo
Kyung-won (17')
Kyung-won (73')
Yamada (52'), Patric (90')
Matsuda (11')
rhs 2.0
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