Gamba Osaka
J1 League | Gameweek 35
Oct 23, 2024 at 11am UK
National Olympic Stadium

Gamba Osaka
3 - 2
Nagoya Grampus

Sakamoto (21', 28'), Fukuda (78')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Chang-Rae (5'), Yoshida (56')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Gamba Osaka and Nagoya Grampus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gamba Osaka

All competitions
Last Game: Kawasaki 1-1 Gamba Osaka
Friday, October 18 at 11am in J1 League

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-2 Consadole
Saturday, October 19 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gamba Osaka would win this match.

Result
Gamba OsakaDrawNagoya Grampus
40.9% (-0.11 -0.11)26.99% (-0.035 -0.04)32.11% (0.143 0.14)
Both teams to score 50.26% (0.148 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.12% (0.169 0.17)54.88% (-0.172 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.83% (0.139 0.14)76.17% (-0.143 -0.14)
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.62% (0.018000000000001 0.02)26.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.46% (0.027000000000001 0.03)61.53% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.28% (0.184 0.18)31.72% (-0.188 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.86% (0.212 0.21)68.14% (-0.215 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Gamba Osaka 40.9%
    Nagoya Grampus 32.11%
    Draw 26.98%
Gamba OsakaDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 11.15% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.43% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.3% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 40.9%
1-1 @ 12.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.37% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.9% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.98%
0-1 @ 9.61% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.35% (0.031 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.52% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.81% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.11% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 32.11%

Head to Head
May 11, 2024 8am
Gameweek 13
Nagoya Grampus
0-1
Gamba Osaka

Chang-Rae (51'), Ha (52')
Kishimoto (67')
Oct 21, 2023 6am
Gameweek 30
Gamba Osaka
0-1
Nagoya Grampus

Kyung-won (52'), Yamamoto (57')
Fujii (26')
Yonemoto (23')
May 6, 2023 11am
Gameweek 12
Nagoya Grampus
1-0
Gamba Osaka
Inagaki (67')
Aug 27, 2022 10am
Gameweek 27
Nagoya Grampus
0-2
Gamba Osaka
Patric (3'), Suzuki (87')
Meshino (27')
Apr 2, 2022 6am
Gameweek 6
Gamba Osaka
3-1
Nagoya Grampus
Patric (26'), Miyahara (54' og.), Kurokawa (62')
Sento (83')