J1 League Gameweek 35
Oct 23, 2024 11.00am
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT National Olympic Stadium
  • Isa Sakamoto 21' goal
  • Isa Sakamoto 28' goal
  • Yuya Fukuda 78' goal
  • goal Ha Chang-Rae 5'
  • goal Haruki Yoshida 56'

Gamba Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gamba Osaka

All competitions
Last game
Oct 18, 2024 11.00am
Kawasaki 1 - 1 Gamba Osaka
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Takashi Usami

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions
Last game
Oct 19, 2024 6.00am
Nagoya Grampus 0 - 2 Consadole
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Kensuke Nagai

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gamba Osaka would win this match.

Result

Gamba Osaka 40.9% (-0.11)
Draw 26.99% (-0.04)
Nagoya Grampus 32.11% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.26% (+0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.12% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 54.88% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 23.83% (+0.14)
Under 3.5 76.17% (-0.15)
Over 4.5 10.62% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 89.37% (-0.09)

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5 73.62% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 26.38% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 38.46% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 61.53% (-0.03)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5 68.28% (+0.19)
Under 0.5 31.72% (-0.19)
Over 1.5 31.86% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 68.14% (-0.22)

Score analysis

Gamba Osaka 40.9%
Draw 26.98%
Nagoya Grampus 32.11%
Gamba Osaka
1-0 @ 11.15% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.43% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.79% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.3% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.18% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.26% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 40.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.8% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.37% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.9% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.98%
Nagoya Grampus
0-1 @ 9.61% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.35% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 5.52% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.81% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.11% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.87% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 32.11%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 13
May 11, 2024 8.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Minato Soccer Stadium
  • Ha Chang-Rae 51' yellowcard
  • Chang-rae Ha 52' yellowcard
  • goal Takeru Kishimoto 67'
J1 League Gameweek 30
Oct 21, 2023 6.00am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Nishigaoka National Stadium
  • Kwon Kyung-won 52' yellowcard
  • Yuki Yamamoto 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Takuji Yonemoto 23'
  • goal Haruya Fujii 26'
J1 League Gameweek 12
May 6, 2023 11.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Nagoya Mizuho Athletic Stadium
  • Sho Inagaki 67' goal
J1 League Gameweek 27
Aug 27, 2022 10.00am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Patric 3'
  • yellowcard Ryotaro Meshino 27'
  • goal Musashi Suzuki 87'
J1 League Gameweek 6
Apr 2, 2022 6.00am
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Patric 26' goal
  • Kazuya Miyahara 54' goal
  • Keisuke Kurokawa 62' goal
  • goal Keiya Sento 83'
J1 League Gameweek 36
Nov 20, 2021 5.00am
1
3
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Shu Kurata 30' yellowcard
  • Patric 53' goal
  • Ko Yanagisawa 54' yellowcard
  • Patric 85' yellowcard
  • goal Jakub Swierczok 8'
  • goal Yoichiro Kakitani 22'
  • goal Jakub Swierczok 29'