Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 47.18%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 26.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.12%) and 1-2 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 1-0 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.