J1 League | Gameweek 32

Sep 28, 2024 at 11am UK

Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)

Sagan Tosu
0 - 0
Avispa Fukuoka

Sakaiya (79')

Tashiro (4'), Konno (33'), Miya (84')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Avispa Fukuoka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sagan Tosu

All competitions

Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 2-0 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, September 22 at 10am in J1 League

Goals
for

Avispa Fukuoka

All competitions

Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, September 21 at 11am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Sagan Tosu	Draw	Avispa Fukuoka
34.41% ( 0.12)	26.8% ( 0.02)	38.79% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 51.39% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.3% (

-0.07)

53.7% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.81% (

-0.06)

75.19% (

0.05)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.39% (

0.05)

29.61% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.35% (

0.05)

65.64% (

-0.06)

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73% (

-0.11)

27% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.65% (

-0.15)

62.34% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Sagan Tosu 34.41%

Avispa Fukuoka 38.78%

Draw 26.79%

Sagan Tosu	Draw	Avispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 34.41%	1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 1% Total : 26.79%	0-1 @ 10.46% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.34% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.85% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 38.78%