J1 League | Gameweek 30
Sep 14, 2024 at 10am UK
Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka)

Avispa Fukuoka
0 - 3
Machida Zelvia

FT(HT: 0-0)
Fujimoto (51'), Tashiro (56' og.), Na (68')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Avispa Fukuoka and Machida Zelvia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Avispa Fukuoka

All competitions
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-2 Vissel Kobe
Sunday, September 1 at 11am in J1 League

Machida Zelvia

All competitions
J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 2-2 Urawa
Saturday, August 31 at 10am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 50.39%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 21.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.87%) and 1-2 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 1-0 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Machida Zelvia would win this match.

Result
Avispa FukuokaDrawMachida Zelvia
21.52% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)28.1% (-0.055 -0.05)50.39% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 40.02% (0.098000000000006 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.78% (0.143 0.14)64.22% (-0.139 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.66% (0.103 0.1)83.34% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54% (0.056999999999995 0.06)46% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.28% (0.044 0.04)81.72% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Machida Zelvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.1% (0.10599999999999 0.11)25.9% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.11% (0.143 0.14)60.89% (-0.14 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Avispa Fukuoka 21.52%
    Machida Zelvia 50.38%
    Draw 28.09%
Avispa FukuokaDrawMachida Zelvia
1-0 @ 9.25% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 4.85% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 3.59% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 21.52%
1-1 @ 12.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 11.91% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.28% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 28.09%
0-1 @ 16.09% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 10.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.44% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.9% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.8% (0.02 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.65% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.48% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.28% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 50.38%

Head to Head
Jun 22, 2024 7am
Gameweek 19
Machida Zelvia
0-0
Avispa Fukuoka
Oda (51')
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