Gamba Osaka
J1 League | Gameweek 38
Dec 8, 2024 at 5am UK
National Olympic Stadium

Gamba Osaka
3 - 1
Hiroshima

Sakamoto (13', 13', 89', 89'), Nakatani (81', 81')
Felipe (42'), Felipe (42'), Alano (87'), Alano (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Kato (90+3', 90+3')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Gamba Osaka and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gamba Osaka

All competitions
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 0-1 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, November 30 at 5am in J1 League

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

All competitions
Last Game: Hiroshima 5-1 Consadole
Sunday, December 1 at 5am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.25%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Gamba OsakaDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
29.76% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)24.57% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)45.66% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 56.96% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.29% (0.021999999999998 0.02)45.7% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.97% (0.021999999999998 0.02)68.02% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)28.69% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)64.51% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.88% (0.018000000000001 0.02)20.11% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.63% (0.027999999999999 0.03)52.37% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Gamba Osaka 29.76%
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 45.66%
    Draw 24.57%
Gamba OsakaDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
2-1 @ 7.21% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 7.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.5% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3%
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.87% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 29.76%
1-1 @ 11.55%
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.57%
1-2 @ 9.27% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 9.25% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 7.42% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 4.95% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 3.97% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 3.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.99% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.59% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.24% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 45.66%

Head to Head
Mar 30, 2024 4am
Gameweek 5
Hiroshima
1-1
Gamba Osaka
Arai (78')
Felipe (76')
Nov 25, 2023 5am
Gameweek 33
Hiroshima
3-0
Gamba Osaka
Mitsuta (9'), Nakano (11'), Kato (53')

Kyung-won (22'), Kurokawa (38')
Mar 12, 2023 7am
Gameweek 4
Gamba Osaka
1-2
Hiroshima
Usami (70')
Ben Khalifa (2'), Mitsuta (90+4' pen.)
Aug 20, 2022 11am
Gameweek 26
Hiroshima
5-2
Gamba Osaka
Ben Khalifa (11', 72', 76'), Mitsuta (82'), Matsumoto (88')
Pereira (2'), Saito (36')
Higashiguchi (48')
Jun 29, 2022 11am
Gameweek 15
Gamba Osaka
2-0
Hiroshima
Kurokawa (36'), Sakamoto (39')
Onose (78'), Kurata (90+3')
rhs 2.0


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