Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 69.12%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 13.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.27%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 1-2 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.