Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 49.07%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 1-0 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.