Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 55.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 21.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Shonan Bellmare win it was 1-0 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.