Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 36.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Tokyo Verdy win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shonan Bellmare would win this match.