Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 61.7%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Consadole Sapporo had a probability of 18.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 1-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a Consadole Sapporo win it was 1-2 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.