J1 League | Gameweek 3
Feb 26, 2025 at 10am UK
City Light Stadium
Gamba Osaka

Okayama
2 - 0
Gamba Osaka

Yanagi (45'), Ichimi (48')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Egawa (90')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Fagiano Okayama and Gamba Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fagiano Okayama

All competitions
Last Game: Yokohama FC 1-0 Okayama
Saturday, February 22 at 5am in J1 League

Gamba Osaka

All competitions
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 2-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, February 22 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 44.78%. A win for Fagiano Okayama had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Fagiano Okayama win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Fagiano OkayamaDrawGamba Osaka
29.19% (0.082999999999998 0.08)26.03% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)44.78% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 51.9% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.83% (0.089999999999996 0.09)52.16% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.12% (0.074999999999999 0.07)73.88% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Fagiano Okayama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.59% (0.108 0.11)32.4% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.07% (0.121 0.12)68.92% (-0.126 -0.13)
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)23.21% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.88% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)57.11% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Fagiano Okayama 29.19%
    Gamba Osaka 44.77%
    Draw 26.03%
Fagiano OkayamaDrawGamba Osaka
1-0 @ 8.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.98% (0.018 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.78% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.62% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.91% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.79% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 29.19%
1-1 @ 12.38%
0-0 @ 7.52% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.03%
0-1 @ 10.98% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 9.04% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 8.02% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.4%
0-3 @ 3.91% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.43% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 44.77%

rhs 2.0


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