J1 League | Gameweek 6

Mar 15, 2025 at 5am UK

Machida Athletic Stadium

Machida Zelvia
1 - 0
Albirex Niigata

Nishimura (25', 25')
Shimoda (16'), Shimoda (16')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Machida Zelvia and Albirex Niigata.

Form, Standings, Stats

Machida Zelvia

All competitions

Last Game: Yokohama FC 0-2 Machida Zelvia
Saturday, March 8 at 7am in J1 League

Goals
for

Albirex Niigata

All competitions

Last Game: Albirex Niigata 2-2 Tokyo Verdy
Saturday, March 8 at 5.05am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Machida Zelvia in this match.

Result
Machida Zelvia	Draw	Albirex Niigata
41.24% ( 0)	28.29% ( 0)	30.47% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 45.9% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.89% (

-0.02)

60.11% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.68% (

-0.02)

80.32% (

0.01)

Machida Zelvia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.33% (

-0.01)

28.67% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.51% (

-0.01)

64.49% (

0.01)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.36% (

-0.02)

35.64% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.59% (

-0.02)

72.41% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Machida Zelvia 41.23%

Albirex Niigata 30.47%

Draw 28.28%

Machida Zelvia	Draw	Albirex Niigata
1-0 @ 12.76% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.97% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.43% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.32% 3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.07% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.65% Total : 41.23%	1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 10.21% 2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.28%	0-1 @ 10.54% 1-2 @ 6.79% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.44% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 2.03% Total : 30.47%