Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shimizu S-Pulse win with a probability of 50.57%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 24.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shimizu S-Pulse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shimizu S-Pulse would win this match.

Result
Shimizu S-Pulse	Draw	Albirex Niigata
50.57% ( -0.52)	24.5% ( 0.03)	24.92% ( 0.48)

Both teams to score 53.29% (

0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.26% (

0.27)

48.73% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.16% (

0.25)

70.84% (

-0.25)

Shimizu S-Pulse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.72% (

-0.1)

19.28% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.98% (

-0.17)

51.01% (

0.16)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.02% (

0.56)

33.97% (

-0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.35% (

0.6)

70.65% (

-0.61)

Score Analysis

Shimizu S-Pulse 50.58%

Albirex Niigata 24.92%

Draw 24.49%

Shimizu S-Pulse	Draw	Albirex Niigata
1-0 @ 10.78% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.04% Total : 50.58%	1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.49%	0-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.25% Total : 24.92%