J1 League | Gameweek 3

Feb 26, 2025 at 10am UK

Kashima Soccer Stadium

Kashima Antlers
2 - 1
Albirex Niigata

Koike (10')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Yamura (44')
Miyamoto (71')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kashima Antlers and Albirex Niigata.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kashima Antlers

All competitions

Last Game: Kashima Antlers 4-0 Tokyo Verdy
Saturday, February 22 at 6am in J1 League

Goals
for

Albirex Niigata

All competitions

Last Game: Shimizu S-Pulse 2-0 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, February 22 at 5am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 50.42%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 22.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for an Albirex Niigata win it was 0-1 (8.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.

Result
Kashima Antlers	Draw	Albirex Niigata
50.42% ( 0.16)	26.74% ( -0.07)	22.85% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 44.73% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.11% (

0.17)

58.9% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.61% (

0.13)

79.39% (

-0.13)

Kashima Antlers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.49% (

0.14)

23.51% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.46% (

0.21)

57.54% (

-0.21)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.47% (

0.01)

41.53% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.98% (

0.01)

78.02% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Kashima Antlers 50.41%

Albirex Niigata 22.85%

Draw 26.74%

Kashima Antlers	Draw	Albirex Niigata
1-0 @ 14.13% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.52% Total : 50.41%	1-1 @ 12.42% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.61% Total : 26.74%	0-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.16% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.18% Total : 22.85%