J1 League Gameweek 4
Mar 2, 2025 5.00am
1
2
HT : 2 2
FT Minato Soccer Stadium
  • Yota Sato 20' goal
  • Yota Sato 20' goal
  • goal Takuma Nishimura 13'
  • goal Takuma Nishimura 13'
  • goal Sangho Na 74'
  • goal Sangho Na 74'
  • yellowcard Kanji Kuwayama 82'
  • yellowcard Kanji Kuwayama 82'
  • yellowcard Ryohei Shirasaki 88'
  • yellowcard Ryohei Shirasaki 88'

Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions
Last game
Feb 26, 2025 10.00am
FC Tokyo 3 - 1 Nagoya Grampus
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Sho Inagaki

Machida Zelvia

All competitions
Last game
Feb 26, 2025 10.00am
Machida Zelvia 0 - 1 Tokyo Verdy
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Takuma Nishimura

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Machida Zelvia would win this match.

Result

Nagoya Grampus 31.54% (+0.11)
Draw 27.22% (+0.01)
Machida Zelvia 41.24% (-0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.38% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.09% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 55.91% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 22.98% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 77.02% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 10.1%
Under 4.5 89.9%

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5 67.35% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 32.64% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 30.81% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 69.19% (-0.09)

Machida Zelvia Goals

Over 0.5 73.31% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 26.68% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 38.06% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 61.93% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Nagoya Grampus 31.54%
Draw 27.21%
Machida Zelvia 41.23%
Nagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 9.75% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.21% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.46% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.69% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.04% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.78% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 31.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.88% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 8.71% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.76% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.21%
Machida Zelvia
0-1 @ 11.5% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.51% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 7.6% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.75% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.35% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 41.23%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 22
Jul 6, 2024 10.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Machida Gion Stadium (Tokyo)
  • Hokuto Shimoda 30' goal
  • Gen Shoji 43' yellowcard
  • Kazuki Fujimoto 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Keiya Shiihashi 14'
  • yellowcard Patric 90'+6'
J1 League Gameweek 2
Mar 2, 2024 5.00am
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Nagoya Mizuho Athletic Stadium
  • Ha Chang-Rae 46' yellowcard
  • Chang-rae Ha 46' yellowcard
  • Ha Chang-Rae 46' yellowcard
  • Chang-rae Ha 46' yellowcard
  • Yuki Nogami 54' yellowcard
  • Yuki Nogami 54' yellowcard
  • Ken Masui 79' yellowcard
  • Ken Masui 79' yellowcard
  • Takuji Yonemoto 87' redcard
  • Takuji Yonemoto 87' redcard
  • goal Shota Fujio 21'
  • goal Shota Fujio 21'
  • yellowcard Min-kyu Jang 39'
  • yellowcard Min-kyu Jang 39'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Dresevic 55'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Dresevic 55'
  • yellowcard Kai Shibato 82'
  • yellowcard Kai Shibato 82'