J1 League Gameweek 37
Nov 30, 2024 5.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Machida Athletic Stadium
  • Yuki Soma 54' yellowcard
  • Yuki Soma 54' yellowcard
  • Gakuji Ota 67' goal
  • Gakuji Ota 67' goal
  • yellowcard Rafael Elias 45'+8'
  • yellowcard Rafael Elias 45'+8'
  • yellowcard Ryuma Nakano 88'
  • yellowcard Ryuma Nakano 88'

Machida Zelvia vs Kyoto Sanga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Machida Zelvia

All competitions
Last game
Nov 9, 2024 5.00am
Machida Zelvia 3 - 0 FC Tokyo
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Se-Hun Oh

Kyoto Sanga

All competitions
Last game
Nov 17, 2024 5.00am
Kyoto Sanga 0 - 0 Kashima Antlers
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Rafael Elias

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 50.34%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 25.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 0-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Machida Zelvia in this match.

Result

Machida Zelvia 50.34% (+0.27)
Draw 24.31% (+0.01)
Kyoto Sanga 25.34% (-0.28)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.33% (-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.43% (-0.26)
Under 2.5 47.57% (+0.26)
Over 3.5 30.23% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 69.77% (+0.24)
Over 4.5 14.83% (-0.17)
Under 4.5 85.17% (+0.17)

Machida Zelvia Goals

Over 0.5 81.08% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 18.92% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 49.58% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 50.42% (-0.02)

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5 67.01% (-0.37)
Under 0.5 32.99% (+0.36)
Over 1.5 30.43% (-0.41)
Under 1.5 69.57% (+0.41)

Score analysis

Machida Zelvia 50.34%
Draw 24.31%
Kyoto Sanga 25.34%
Machida Zelvia
1-0 @ 10.39% (+0.13)
2-1 @ 9.59% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.65% (+0.10)
3-1 @ 5.32% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.8% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.22% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 50.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.52% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.24% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.32% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.31%
Kyoto Sanga
0-1 @ 6.92% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.39% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 3.84% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 25.34%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 12
May 6, 2024 6.00am
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Kyoto Nishikyogoku Stadium
  • Kazunari Ichimi 31' yellowcard
  • Kazunari Ichimi 31' yellowcard
  • Yuto Misao 50' yellowcard
  • Yuto Misao 50' yellowcard
  • Taiki Hirato 56' yellowcard
  • Taiki Hirato 56' yellowcard
  • goal Se-Hun Oh 22'
  • goal Se-Hun Oh 22'
  • yellowcard Kotaro Hayashi 37'
  • yellowcard Kotaro Hayashi 37'
  • goal Sangho Na 64'
  • goal Sangho Na 64'
  • goal Mitchell Duke 75'
  • goal Mitchell Duke 75'
  • yellowcard Kai Shibato 79'
  • yellowcard Kai Shibato 79'