Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 50.34%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 25.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 0-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Machida Zelvia in this match.