J1 League | Gameweek 5
Mar 8, 2025 at 5.05am UK
Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata
2 - 2
Tokyo Verdy

Hasegawa (42', 42'), Fitzgerald (58', 58')
Arai (19'), Arai (19'), Inamura (53'), Inamura (53'), Ochiai (90+4'), Ochiai (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Kimura (10', 10'), Tsunashima (75', 75')
Arai (45+1'), Arai (45+1')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Albirex Niigata and Tokyo Verdy.

Form, Standings, Stats

Albirex Niigata

All competitions
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 2-2 Cerezo
Sunday, March 2 at 5am in J1 League

Tokyo Verdy

All competitions
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 0-1 Gamba Osaka
Sunday, March 2 at 5am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Tokyo Verdy win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Albirex NiigataDrawTokyo Verdy
42.32% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)26.6% (0.441 0.44)31.07% (-0.429 -0.43)
Both teams to score 51.07% (-1.549 -1.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.32% (-1.916 -1.92)53.68% (1.915 1.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.83% (-1.636 -1.64)75.17% (1.636 1.64)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.91% (-0.85899999999999 -0.86)25.09% (0.858 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.22% (-1.205 -1.21)59.78% (1.204 1.2)
Tokyo Verdy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.18% (-1.272 -1.27)31.82% (1.27 1.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.74% (-1.482 -1.48)68.26% (1.48 1.48)
Score Analysis
    Albirex Niigata 42.32%
    Tokyo Verdy 31.08%
    Draw 26.6%
Albirex NiigataDrawTokyo Verdy
1-0 @ 11.04% (0.55 0.55)
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-0 @ 7.63% (0.195 0.2)
3-1 @ 4.03% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-0 @ 3.52% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.165 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.39% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.22% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 42.32%
1-1 @ 12.64% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 7.99% (0.582 0.58)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.226 -0.23)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.6%
0-1 @ 9.14% (0.364 0.36)
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-2 @ 5.23% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.76% (-0.154 -0.15)
0-3 @ 2% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.157 -0.16)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 31.08%

Head to Head
Oct 23, 2024 11am
Gameweek 35
Albirex Niigata
0-2
Tokyo Verdy

Deng (80')
Yamada (49'), Taniguchi (87')
Onaga (5'), Kimura (12')
Mar 16, 2024 7am
Gameweek 4
Tokyo Verdy
2-2
Albirex Niigata
Yamada (8'), Onaga (90')
Yamakoshi (34'), Taniguchi (73'), Meshino (80')
Taniguchi (32'), Nagakura (69')
Fujiwara (36'), Fitzgerald (90+4')