J1 League | Gameweek 4

Mar 2, 2025 at 5am UK

Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata
2 - 2
Cerezo

Yamura (17', 17'), Hasegawa (62', 62')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Nakajima (28', 28'), Ratao (90+1', 90+1')
Andrade (49'), Andrade (49'), Tanaka (74'), Tanaka (74'), Kida (80'), Kida (80')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Albirex Niigata and Cerezo Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Albirex Niigata

All competitions

Last Game: Kashima Antlers 2-1 Albirex Niigata
Wednesday, February 26 at 10am in J1 League

Goals
for

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions

Last Game: Reysol 2-1 Cerezo
Wednesday, February 26 at 10am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Albirex Niigata	Draw	Cerezo Osaka
34.76% ( 0.49)	24.95% ( -0.14)	40.28% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 57.66% (

0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.33% (

0.73)

45.67% (

-0.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32% (

0.68)

68% (

-0.69)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.47% (

0.63)

25.53% (

-0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.62% (

0.85)

60.38% (

-0.85)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.42% (

0.14)

22.58% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.83% (

0.21)

56.18% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

Albirex Niigata 34.76%

Cerezo Osaka 40.28%

Draw 24.95%

Albirex Niigata	Draw	Cerezo Osaka
2-1 @ 8% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.57% Total : 34.76%	1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.95%	1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 4.32% 0-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.28% Total : 40.28%