Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 48.09%. A win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Tokyo Verdy win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.