Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Machida Zelvia win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.