J1 League | Gameweek 9
Apr 6, 2025 at 6am UK
Machida Athletic Stadium

Machida Zelvia
2 - 2
Kawasaki

Okamura (34', 34'), Nishimura (53', 53')
Okamura (20'), Okamura (20'), Soma (41'), Soma (41')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Erison (16', 16'), Kawahara (73', 73')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Machida Zelvia and Kawasaki Frontale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Machida Zelvia

All competitions
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 0-1 Machida Zelvia
Wednesday, April 2 at 11am in J1 League

Kawasaki Frontale

All competitions
J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 2-0 Shonan Bellmare
Wednesday, April 2 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Machida Zelvia win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Machida ZelviaDrawKawasaki Frontale
29.19% (-0.067 -0.07)27.4% (0.159 0.16)43.4% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 47.82% (-0.49299999999999 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.58% (-0.613 -0.61)57.41% (0.612 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.77% (-0.489 -0.49)78.22% (0.488 0.49)
Machida Zelvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.83% (-0.37700000000001 -0.38)35.17% (0.376 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.08% (-0.397 -0.4)71.92% (0.395 0.39)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.76% (-0.32899999999999 -0.33)26.24% (0.329 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.66% (-0.442 -0.44)61.34% (0.442 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Machida Zelvia 29.19%
    Kawasaki Frontale 43.39%
    Draw 27.4%
Machida ZelviaDrawKawasaki Frontale
1-0 @ 9.64% (0.126 0.13)
2-1 @ 6.74% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.04% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.35% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.76% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.57% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 29.19%
1-1 @ 12.9% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 9.23% (0.213 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.4%
0-1 @ 12.34% (0.17 0.17)
1-2 @ 8.63% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 8.26% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.85% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.68% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.23% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 43.39%

Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 7am
Gameweek 33
Machida Zelvia
1-4
Kawasaki
Nakashima (13')
Fujio (83')
Miura (28'), Yamada (38'), Erison (50' pen.), Marcinho (71')
Apr 7, 2024 7am
Gameweek 7
Kawasaki
0-1
Machida Zelvia

Ricardo (23'), Erison (56')
Fujio (32')
Hayashi (22'), Oh (59')
Tani (71')