AFC Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 12, 2025 at 10am UK
Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium

Kawasaki
4 - 0
Sh. Shenhua

Sasaki (24'), Erison (64'), Ito (68'), Marcinho (90+1')
Wakizaka (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Chan (57')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Round of 16 clash between Kawasaki Frontale and Shanghai Shenhua.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sh. Shenhua 1-0 Kawasaki
Wednesday, March 5 at 12pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Sh. Shenhua 1-0 Kawasaki
Wednesday, March 5 at 12pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 54.76%. A win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 22.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawShanghai Shenhua
54.76% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)22.32% (0.026 0.03)22.92% (0.025000000000002 0.03)
Both teams to score 58.23% (-0.061 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.88% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)41.12% (0.098999999999997 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.49% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)63.51% (0.1 0.1)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.04% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)14.96% (0.049000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.62% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)43.38% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Shanghai Shenhua Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.47% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)31.53% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.08% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)67.92% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Kawasaki Frontale 54.76%
    Shanghai Shenhua 22.92%
    Draw 22.32%
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawShanghai Shenhua
2-1 @ 9.83%
1-0 @ 8.96% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.51% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.22% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.39% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.59% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.56% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.71% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.12% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 54.76%
1-1 @ 10.34% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.72% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.32%
1-2 @ 5.97% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 5.44% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.14% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.3%
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 22.92%

How you voted: Kawasaki vs Sh. Shenhua

Kawasaki Frontale
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Shanghai Shenhua
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2025 12pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Sh. Shenhua
1-0
Kawasaki
Takai (76' og.)
Yennaris (5')

Marcinho (43'), Sasaki (90+3')