Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 69.12%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Sichuan Jiuniu had a probability of 13.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 1-0 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.06%), while for a Sichuan Jiuniu win it was 1-2 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.