Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.81%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Shanghai Shenhua win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.