Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Shandong Taishan had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.