Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 52.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Sichuan Jiuniu had a probability of 22.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Sichuan Jiuniu win it was 0-1 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.