Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Qingdao Youth Island had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Qingdao Youth Island win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.