Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 67.89%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 14.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 1-0 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 1-2 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.