Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for Shandong Taishan had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Shandong Taishan win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.