Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 48.3%. A win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 27.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.