Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 48.23%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Qingdao Jonoon had a probability of 25.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Qingdao Jonoon win it was 0-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shanghai Shenhua in this match.