Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 31.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.