Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 52.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.67%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Nantong Zhiyun win it was 1-0 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Shanghai Shenhua in this match.