Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Youth Island win with a probability of 38.04%. A win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Youth Island win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 (11.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.