MX23RW : Monday, April 29 17:15:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
Chinese Super League | Gameweek 5
Apr 10, 2024 at 12.35pm UK
Development Area Stadium

Cangzhou
2 - 0
Changchun

Maritu (43'), Sunzu (47')
Wen (21')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mincheng (84'), Mincheng (84')
Abdugheni (15')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Cangzhou Mighty Lions and Changchun Yatai.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cangzhou Mighty Lions

All competitions
Last Game: Wuhan TT 2-3 Cangzhou
Thursday, April 4 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Changchun Yatai

All competitions
Last Game: Changchun 1-2 Sh. Shenhua
Friday, April 5 at 8.30am in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cangzhou Mighty Lions would win this match.

Result
Cangzhou Mighty LionsDrawChangchun Yatai
37.35% (-0.295 -0.3) 26.13% (0.111 0.11) 36.52% (0.179 0.18)
Both teams to score 53.8% (-0.372 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.27% (-0.476 -0.48)50.72% (0.47199999999999 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.37% (-0.42 -0.42)72.62% (0.417 0.42)
Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.58% (-0.38900000000001 -0.39)26.41% (0.384 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.42% (-0.518 -0.52)61.58% (0.51300000000001 0.51)
Changchun Yatai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.11% (-0.12 -0.12)26.89% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.79% (-0.156 -0.16)62.2% (0.151 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Cangzhou Mighty Lions 37.35%
    Changchun Yatai 36.52%
    Draw 26.12%
Cangzhou Mighty LionsDrawChangchun Yatai
1-0 @ 9.46% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.27% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.29% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.67% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.79% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 37.35%
1-1 @ 12.41% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.1% (0.134 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.12%
0-1 @ 9.33% (0.145 0.15)
1-2 @ 8.16% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.13% (0.076 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.57% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.68% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.17% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 36.52%

Head to Head
Aug 20, 2023 12.35pm
Gameweek 23
Changchun
3-1
Cangzhou
Serginho (20'), Long (60', 62')
Liao (22')
Maritu (57')
May 19, 2023 12.35pm
Gameweek 8
Cangzhou
2-4
Changchun
Skoric (80'), Maritu (90+2' pen.)
Honglue (16'), Yang (61'), Piao (88'), Chuangyi (90+5')
Leonardo (39', 66', 77'), Long (63')
Teng (20')
Nov 26, 2022 7am
Gameweek 27
Changchun
0-2
Cangzhou
Ma (36'), Owusu-Sekyere (80')
Aug 28, 2022 10.30am
Gameweek 15
Cangzhou
1-2
Changchun
Maritu (79')
Chen (15'), Yang (33'), Shao (90+5')
Lima (26'), Serginho (90+2' pen.)
Qi (66')
rhs 2.0
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