Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Youth Island win with a probability of 37.29%. A win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Youth Island win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Meizhou Hakka win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.