Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantong Zhiyun win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantong Zhiyun win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Meizhou Hakka win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nantong Zhiyun in this match.